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What are the real reasons the cost of our food is rising?

You’ve probably noticed it already. The weekly shop costs more than it used to, and not by a small margin. Meat, dairy, vegetables, even everyday staples, have all increased in price over the last few years. 

Many people are asking the same question: what’s really going on, and why has our food become so expensive so quickly?

This isn’t just about inflation or short-term disruption. Something deeper is happening within the UK food system, and understanding it helps explain why prices, particularly beef prices, have gone up so sharply, and why they’re unlikely to fall back to previous levels.

Food Has Never Been Just Another Commodity

Food plays a central role in all our lives. It’s a basic human need, but it’s also a source of pleasure, comfort and connection. Some of life’s best moments happen around a table, sharing a meal with family or friends.

For most of human history, securing enough food took up a huge amount of time and energy. From hunter-gatherers to subsistence farmers, the primary concern was survival. Growing food, keeping animals, and protecting harvests were daily priorities, and the consequences of failure were severe.

Until relatively recently, most people were directly involved in producing their own food. That connection to the land created an understanding of just how delicate and unpredictable food production can be. A poor harvest or livestock disease could mean hunger or worse. For many people around the world, that insecurity still exists today.

How Food Became Cheapand Why That’s Changing

In the UK, we’ve been fortunate. Over time, food availability became more reliable, and large-scale farming grew increasingly productive. Advances in technology, logistics and supply chains meant food could be produced, transported and sold at scale.

Modern supermarkets reflect this system perfectly. Food appears in abundance, year-round, and at prices that, historically speaking, are remarkably low. For many years, the proportion of household income spent on food steadily declined.

But that system relied on one key assumption: that food, particularly meat, could always be produced cheaply. And that assumption is now being challenged.

Why Is Beef So Expensive in the UK Right Now? 

Few foods illustrate this better than beef. The UK consumes around 300 million kilograms of beef every year, and it has long been a staple rather than a luxury. But increasingly, people are asking why beef is so expensive right now, and why the price of beef has gone up so sharply.

As of March 2025, beef prices have risen by around 30% in just six months, and forecasts suggest this trend will continue. For many households, beef is becoming something eaten less often, rather than a regular part of the weekly shop.

So why has beef become so expensive? 

We’ve Underpaid for Beef for Decades

To understand why beef prices have gone up, you need to look backwards as well as forwards.

A close friend of mine, Sam Webster, is a beef farmer near Ripon, not far from Yorkshire Handmade Pies. I asked him directly why the food market feels so volatile at the moment and what’s driving these sharp increases.

His answer was simple: prices have been kept artificially low for many years.

For a long time, farmers were under intense pressure to produce more food for less money. Supermarkets competed aggressively on price, and that pressure was passed down the supply chain. Beef, dairy and other animal products became increasingly commoditised.

The result? Farmers were paid less than the true cost of sustainable production.

What Happens When Farming Becomes Unviable 

When prices are pushed too low for too long, something has to give. Many farmers responded by scaling back, becoming smaller and leaner just to survive. Others exited farming altogether.

This is where a critical misunderstanding often arises. When beef production falls, it cannot be quickly replaced. Unlike manufacturing, farming has long cycle times. From breeding to finishing, producing a fully grown beef animal takes around three years.

So, when cattle numbers drop, the effects are felt years later. And when demand remains steady, or increases, prices rise. This is one of the key reasons beef prices are going up now.

In short, we’re seeing the delayed consequences of decades of under pricing.

“Beef Isn’t Expensive, It’s Finally Priced Properly”

Sam’s view is striking. He doesn’t believe beef is suddenly overpriced. He believes it’s finally being priced closer to where it should have been all along.

He finds it frustrating that many people will think nothing of paying £4 or more for a coffee, yet expect meat and dairy to be as cheap as possible. Over time, we’ve become detached from the true value of food, particularly animal products that take years to produce.

This shift in perception helps explain why so many people are asking why beef prices are so high in the UK. It feels expensive because we were used to prices that were unsustainably low.

The Impact of Falling Subsidies

Adding further pressure is the sharp reduction in government subsidies. Sam explained that subsidies now account for around 3% of what they once were. That support previously helped stabilise food production and absorb some of the risk farmers face.

With subsidies reduced, farmers must recover more of their costs through the price of the food they sell. That inevitably feeds through to consumers and contributes to the sense that beef has become so expensive.

Environmental Policies and Food Production

Another major factor is how subsidies are now structured. Increasingly, government schemes prioritise environmental projects such as tree planting, hedgerow expansion and solar farms, often over food production itself.

Much of this is driven by the UK’s net-zero commitments. While environmental protection is important, Sam raises a critical point: we still need to eat.

If domestic food production declines, the UK becomes more reliant on imports. Imported food is often more expensive, produced to lower welfare or environmental standards, and transported long distances, creating its own carbon footprint.

So, while beef prices going up feels painful, the alternative may be even more costly in the long run.

Farming Can’t Be Switched Back On Overnight

One of the most important points Sam made is that farming isn’t something you can restart quickly once it’s lost.

“We’re not a rubber duck factory,” he said. “You can’t just turn food production back on overnight.”

Once farms close, land is repurposed, or herds are reduced, rebuilding capacity takes years. This is why the current moment matters so much. We’re at a critical point in the UK’s food supply, and the choices made now will shape availability and prices for decades.

Why Paying More for Food Matters

This doesn’t mean prices will rise forever unchecked. But it does mean we may need to adjust expectations. Paying more for food isn’t just about inflation, it’s about ensuring farmers can continue producing it.

If we want food security, animal welfare, environmental responsibility and high standards, those values have to be reflected in price.

That’s uncomfortable, but it’s also honest.

Where Yorkshire Handmade Pies Stands 

At Yorkshire Handmade Pies, we fully support UK farming and will only ever use quality British beef in our pies, sourced from farmers like Sam. We pay a fair price for the best produce, because that’s the only way to support sustainable food production.

We will never switch to cheaper imported beef, reduce meat content, or compromise on quality to chase lower prices. When you buy from us, you’re supporting British farmers and helping protect the future of UK food production.

Farmers like Sam are the backbone of our food system. If we want to continue enjoying great British food, pies included, we need them more than ever.

A Final Thought

The question isn’t simply why beef prices have gone up, or why beef is so expensive right now. The real question is whether we’re prepared to value food properly.

For many years, we didn’t. Now, the cost of that undervaluation is becoming clear.

Paying more for food is never easy. But paying farmers fairly is essential if we want a secure, ethical and resilient food system in the UK, today and in the years ahead.